Rear View Mirror Q1 2026

As geopolitical tensions escalated and oil prices surged, this quarter examines the impact on global markets, why Emerging Markets outperformed, the challenges facing US equities, and the risks of persistent inflation.

The opening quarter of 2026 was dominated by escalating conflict in Iran, disruption to global oil supplies and renewed concerns around inflation. While these events weighed on investor sentiment, market performance varied across regions as Emerging Markets outperformed and leadership shifted away from US equities. This commentary reviews the quarter’s key developments, assessing their impact on markets, portfolios and the outlook for long-term investors.